By NHI Mgmt Group Editorial TeamBased on IS Decisions: “The future of Active Directory: Why it's not going anywhere soon” (June 29, 2026)

TL;DR: Active Directory is not disappearing on the pace many cloud predictions implied, and IS Decisions cites Microsoft survey data showing 93% of respondents describe their estates as hybrid while 54% still run workloads on-premise with AD. The real governance issue is not cloud victory, but how IAM operates when control, cost, compliance, and application compatibility keep identity management multi-polar.


At a glance

What this is: This analysis argues that Active Directory remains central in hybrid estates because organisations still need on-premises control, compatibility, and cost predictability, while Microsoft survey data shows hybrid operating models are still the norm.

Why it matters: IAM teams have to govern a long-lived mixed environment rather than plan around a clean cloud cutover, which changes how identity controls, operational ownership, and migration sequencing should be designed.

By the numbers:

  • 93% described themselves as "hybrid" in a Microsoft survey of 246 hands-on IT professionals cited by IS Decisions.
  • 54% still run workloads on-premise with Active Directory, according to Microsoft survey data cited by IS Decisions.

Context

Active Directory is a directory service and identity control plane for many enterprise environments, not just a legacy Windows component. The article’s central point is that the market’s cloud-only narrative has not matched operating reality, because application compatibility, control, and cost continue to keep AD relevant in hybrid estates.

For identity teams, that means IAM strategy has to account for two operating models at once: cloud identity services for some workloads and on-premises Active Directory for others. The governance challenge is less about choosing a winner and more about keeping access policy, lifecycle controls, and security layers coherent across both domains.


Key questions

Q: How should security teams govern authentication in hybrid Active Directory and cloud identity environments?

A: Security teams should govern authentication by mapping each access path to the directory that actually enforces policy, then applying MFA and contextual controls at the authentication edge. The goal is not to force a single identity model everywhere. It is to make sure legacy systems, SaaS access, and remote endpoints are all covered by visible, enforceable controls.

Q: Why do organisations keep Active Directory even after moving heavily to the cloud?

A: Organisations keep Active Directory because many applications, control requirements, and cost structures still depend on it. Cloud adoption rarely removes those dependencies at the same speed that new services are introduced. For many enterprises, AD remains a necessary part of access governance, especially where local control and regulatory constraints matter.

Q: What breaks when identity strategy assumes a cloud-only future too early?

A: You create governance gaps for workloads, policies, and access paths that still depend on on-premises AD. The result is inconsistent enforcement, duplicate controls, and migration pressure that can undermine operational stability. Hybrid estates need explicit control mapping, or identity management becomes fragmented across platforms.

Q: What does the future of Active Directory mean for IAM programme design?

A: IAM programmes need to design for parallel environments, not a clean handover. That means supporting hybrid identity operations, layering controls consistently, and measuring maturity by how well the organisation governs both cloud and on-premises identity together. A mixed estate is the operating assumption for many enterprises.


Technical breakdown

Why Active Directory persists in hybrid identity architectures

Active Directory persists because identity decisions are tied to workload location, application dependencies, and operational cost, not just technology preference. Many enterprises cannot move everything to cloud identity without breaking line-of-business applications or accepting higher migration and dependency costs. In practice, AD continues to provide the local control plane for environments that still need on-premises authentication, policy enforcement, and tightly governed access. That makes hybrid IAM a structural condition, not a temporary exception.

Practical implication: model AD as a standing part of the identity architecture and govern it accordingly, rather than treating it as a migration residue.

Hybrid IAM means parallel control planes, not one replacement path

Hybrid identity means organisations must operate cloud IAM and on-premises AD together, often for years. The article shows that many estates are not moving in a straight line from AD to Entra ID, but balancing different platform roles based on application fit, regulation, and cost. That creates a control-plane problem: authentication, policy, and access governance must remain consistent even when the underlying directories differ. Without that consistency, identity drift appears as duplicate entitlements, uneven enforcement, and unclear accountability.

Practical implication: map which identity decisions are enforced in AD, which move to cloud identity, and where policy translation creates gaps.

The security issue is over-centralisation, not only migration pace

The article’s resilience argument is important: concentrating digital operations into a single dependency can create systemic exposure when availability is disrupted. That is not the same as saying cloud is unsafe. It means identity architecture should avoid assuming that one centralised model can absorb all operational and regulatory requirements. For many organisations, especially regulated or infrastructure-heavy ones, distribution of identity control is part of risk management, not technical debt.

Practical implication: design identity governance for resilience across multiple control points instead of assuming a single directory can safely absorb every workload.


Threat narrative

Attacker objective: The objective is to maximize disruption by exploiting concentration in identity and infrastructure dependencies rather than compromising one isolated system.

  1. Entry occurs through organisational dependence on a single centrally managed infrastructure model when business and regulatory requirements are concentrated into one operating pattern.
  2. Escalation follows when an availability event or infrastructure disruption affects a shared identity dependency, widening impact across many connected services.
  3. Impact is the loss of continuity and control across identity-dependent systems, which is why distributed identity architecture matters even outside a formal breach context.
  • Cisco Active Directory credentials leak 2025: Kraken leaked Cisco Active Directory hashes, including service and krbtgt accounts; Cisco says they came from its 2022 breach, not a new one.
  • Co-op cyber attack 2025: Attackers linked to Scattered Spider tricked their way into a Co-op employee account and stole personal data of all 6.5 million members.

Read and download The State of NHI & AI Agent Breach Report 2026, covering 200+ breaches impacting Non-Human Identities including AI Agents.


NHI Mgmt Group analysis

Hybrid identity is now the default operating model, not the transitional state. The cloud-only end state is still real for some organisations, but the article’s data shows that many enterprises will remain hybrid for the foreseeable future. That means identity programmes built around a near-term AD retirement are often solving the wrong problem. Practitioners should plan for durable coexistence across cloud and on-premises identity, not a short migration horizon.

Active Directory is better understood as an identity platform than a legacy holdover. The article argues that organisations continue investing in AD because it remains useful for control, policy extension, and application fit. That reframes governance: the issue is not whether AD is old, but whether its role is explicitly governed inside a broader IAM architecture. Practitioners should treat AD as a managed control surface, not a retirement exception.

Identity architecture is being shaped by economic and regulatory realism, not technology ideology. Application compatibility, cost, sovereignty, and compliance pressure all keep AD relevant in ways cloud-first narratives often understate. That makes the future of identity more multi-polar than linear. Practitioners should expect governance to span multiple trust domains and operational models for years.

Over-centralisation is becoming an identity resilience concern. When too much operational dependency sits behind one identity or infrastructure model, availability events can cascade into broad business interruption. The article’s resilience example shows that the risk is not only compromise but concentration. Practitioners should design identity controls with failure domains in mind, not just migration targets.

Control layering remains the practical bridge between old and new identity estates. The article points to MFA, SSO, and contextual access controls as the kind of layers that make hybrid environments manageable. That is the governance lesson: the operating model is already mixed, so the control strategy has to be layered across both environments. Practitioners should judge identity maturity by coherence across domains, not by directory preference.

From our research library:

What this signals

Hybrid identity planning has to replace cloud-only migration assumptions. The article shows that many estates will not converge quickly, if at all, so IAM roadmaps should be built around coexistence, policy consistency, and shared operational ownership across Active Directory and cloud identity services.

Identity control coherence is now the real maturity signal. If authentication, contextual access, and lifecycle governance differ sharply between on-premises and cloud domains, the organisation has not modernised identity so much as redistributed inconsistency. The programme goal should be one governance model, applied across multiple platforms.

69% of security leaders agree identity management must fundamentally shift to address agentic AI systems, according to the 2026 Infrastructure Identity Survey. That broader shift matters here because hybrid AD environments will increasingly have to govern both human and machine identity patterns at the same time.


For practitioners

  • Map identity control ownership across both directories Document which authentication, authorization, and lifecycle decisions remain in Active Directory and which move to cloud identity so the governance boundary is explicit.
  • Inventory applications that still require on-premises AD Identify the workloads that cannot move cleanly to cloud identity because of compatibility, latency, regulatory, or cost constraints.
  • Extend security layers consistently across both environments Apply MFA, SSO, and contextual access controls in a way that works for hybrid estates rather than only for cloud-native users.
  • Review resilience assumptions in centralised identity dependencies Test what happens when a shared identity control plane or supporting infrastructure becomes unavailable and document the recovery path.

Key takeaways

  • Active Directory persists because hybrid operating models still solve real problems that cloud-only identity does not fully eliminate.
  • The article’s data shows hybrid estates remain common, which means identity governance must span more than one control plane.
  • The practical response is to govern coexistence deliberately, with consistent policy, layered controls, and resilience assumptions that match how enterprises actually run.

Standards & Framework Alignment

This section maps relevant standards and security frameworks to the operational risks and controls described in this guidance.

NIST CSF 2.0, NIST SP 800-53 Rev 5 and NIST Zero Trust (SP 800-207) set the governance and control requirements practitioners need to meet.

FrameworkControl / ReferenceRelevance
NIST CSF 2.0PR.AA-05 — Access Permissions, Entitlements and AuthorizationsHybrid AD governance hinges on consistent permission and entitlement control across cloud and on-premises estates.
GV.RM-01 — Risk Management StrategyThe article frames hybrid identity as a risk and operating-model decision, not a simple migration choice.
Recommendation — Map entitlement governance across both directories and enforce consistent authorization decisions. Set an identity risk strategy that explicitly covers hybrid coexistence and centralisation exposure.
NIST SP 800-53 Rev 5IA-5 — Authenticator ManagementThe post discusses layered identity controls and the need to manage authenticators across mixed environments.
AC-6 — Least PrivilegeHybrid estates need least-privilege enforcement that does not weaken when access spans multiple platforms.
Recommendation — Apply authenticator management consistently across on-premises and cloud identity paths. Review privilege scopes across AD and cloud identity to keep least privilege consistent.
NIST Zero Trust (SP 800-207)0 — Identity verification and access controlHybrid identity is an access-control problem across multiple trust domains, which aligns with zero trust principles.
Recommendation — Align identity decisions to zero trust principles across both cloud and on-premises control planes.

Key terms

  • Hybrid Identity: Hybrid identity is an architecture that connects on-premises directories with cloud identity providers and SaaS applications. It creates operational flexibility, but it also expands the blast radius of identity compromise across multiple systems that share trust and authentication dependencies.
  • Identity Control Plane: An identity control plane is the governance layer that decides who or what can access systems and under what conditions. In practice, it coordinates authentication, authorization, privilege review, and lifecycle management across human and machine identities so access policy is enforced consistently across environments.
  • Directory Coexistence: Directory coexistence is the deliberate operation of more than one identity system at the same time. It is not a failure state by itself; it becomes risky when policy, lifecycle, and access enforcement diverge between environments.
  • Policy Layering: Policy layering is the practice of applying different rules at different decision points, such as application, entitlement, and review. It improves scale and precision when it is deliberate. It becomes risky when layers overlap without a clear authority model or exception path.

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NHIMG Editorial Note
Published by the NHIMG editorial team on July 8, 2026.
Updated on October 11, 2026.
NHI Mgmt Group, the independent authority on Non-Human Identity, IAM, and Agentic AI security. nhimg.org