TL;DR: Only 15% of sites used SHA-256 certificates in September 2014, while Microsoft and Google were already tightening SHA-1 trust windows and browser warnings, according to DigiCert. The shift shows that certificate lifecycle management is a governance problem, not just a cryptography upgrade, because expiry, re-keying, and discovery determine whether trust holds or breaks.
At a glance
What this is: This is a DigiCert analysis of SHA-1 deprecation and the operational pressure it creates for certificate lifecycle management.
Why it matters: It matters because certificate trust changes can break service availability, expose weak lifecycle discipline, and force IAM and security teams to treat certificates as governed identities, not static assets.
By the numbers:
- Only 15% sites use SHA-256 certificates as of September 2014.
- Microsoft announced last year that it would end trust for SHA-1 SSL Certificates after January 1, 2017.
- Google announced they would be adding warning indicators for sites using SHA-1 certificates expiring after December 31, 2017.
👉 Read DigiCert's guidance on SHA-1 migration and SHA-2 replacement
Context
SHA-1 deprecation is the point where certificate lifecycle management becomes visible to the business. When browsers and operating systems stop trusting an algorithm, the issue is no longer abstract cryptography. It becomes an identity governance problem for certificates, because issuance, re-keying, discovery, and expiry all determine whether services remain trusted.
For IAM and security teams, this is a reminder that certificates are non-human identities with a lifecycle. They need inventory, ownership, replacement paths, and change coordination just like other governed credentials. Without that discipline, deprecation events turn into availability incidents instead of controlled migrations.
Key questions
Q: What breaks when SHA-1 certificates are still in use after browser trust changes?
A: Sites may remain technically online but lose browser trust, which creates warning banners, user friction, and potential service interruption. The failure is not only cryptographic weakness. It is the mismatch between certificate validity and the policy enforced by browsers and operating systems.
Q: Why do certificate deprecation events matter to IAM and security teams?
A: They reveal whether certificates are actually governed as identities. If teams cannot inventory, assign ownership, and replace certificates on schedule, trust changes become operational incidents rather than controlled lifecycle events.
Q: How can security teams know if certificate lifecycle management is working?
A: They should be able to identify every certificate, name an owner, track its algorithm and expiry, and prove a replacement path before trust changes occur. If discovery depends on manual effort, the programme is not reliable enough.
Q: Who is accountable when a deprecated certificate causes service disruption?
A: Accountability should sit with the asset or application owner, supported by the security team running certificate lifecycle governance. If responsibility is unclear, expiry and algorithm change events will keep surfacing as avoidable outages.
Technical breakdown
Why SHA-1 trust failures become operational risk
SHA-1 is a legacy hashing algorithm that became unacceptable because weaknesses in collision resistance made it a poor basis for trust. In certificate ecosystems, trust is enforced by browsers, operating systems, and internal validation chains. Once those validators stop accepting an algorithm, existing certificates may still technically exist but no longer establish trusted connections. The operational risk is not only cryptographic weakness. It is the mismatch between certificate validity dates and the external trust policy that decides whether users can reach a site or service.
Practical implication: treat algorithm deprecation as a lifecycle event, not a routine certificate renewal.
Certificate discovery and re-keying as control points
Migration succeeds when teams can find every affected certificate and replace it before trust is withdrawn. Discovery tools matter because internal and external certificates are often spread across networks, applications, and third-party-managed assets. Re-keying changes the certificate material while preserving the service path, which is usually less disruptive than waiting for a last-minute replacement. The real control point is visibility into where SHA-1 still exists and whether each instance has a documented owner and migration path.
Practical implication: build a complete certificate inventory and assign owners before policy deadlines force emergency remediation.
Why browser warnings change the business case
Browser warnings convert a technical weakness into a user-facing trust event. Users may see the warning before teams finish remediation, which means the certificate problem becomes a reputation and availability issue at the edge. This is why vendors and browser makers pressure migration timelines: the trust stack is enforced upstream of the application owner. In practice, teams need compatibility testing, replacement sequencing, and exception handling for systems that cannot move immediately.
Practical implication: prioritize certificates that trigger browser trust warnings because they affect user access first.
NHI Mgmt Group analysis
SHA-1 deprecation exposes certificate lifecycle debt, not just cryptographic debt. The practical failure is that many teams still treat certificates as configuration artefacts instead of governed identities with ownership, replacement triggers, and expiry management. Once a browser vendor changes trust behaviour, that assumption breaks immediately. Practitioners should read this as a lifecycle governance problem that sits inside NHI management, not outside it.
Certificate trust windows are only as stable as the weakest external validator. SHA-1 worked until browsers and platform vendors stopped accepting it, which shows that trust is now distributed across multiple policy engines. That makes certificate governance dependent on external timelines, compatibility testing, and inventory accuracy. The implication is that teams cannot manage certificates by issue date alone; they must manage against enforcement dates.
Runtime trust enforcement turns certificate migration into an access continuity test. When Google warned on expiring SHA-1 certificates and Microsoft set a hard end-of-trust date, the problem was no longer theoretical. Services that missed the migration would face user-visible interruption. This is the same pattern NHI teams see when credential policy changes outpace inventory and ownership. Practitioners should expect lifecycle failures to surface as business outages, not just security findings.
Certificate ownership is the named concept this article reinforces. Certificates fail safely only when every issued credential has a responsible owner, a replacement path, and a policy trigger for renewal or re-keying. Without that ownership model, SHA-1 deprecation becomes a scramble. The practitioner takeaway is to make certificate ownership explicit before the next trust policy change arrives.
Secrets governance and certificate governance are converging disciplines. The same lifecycle weaknesses that expose tokens, keys, and service accounts also apply to certificates, because all of them depend on discovery, custody, and rotation. Teams that manage these assets in separate silos will miss the common failure mode: unmanaged trust drift. The implication is to unify certificate management with the wider identity lifecycle programme.
From our research:
- 62% of all secrets are duplicated and stored in multiple locations, causing unnecessary redundancy and increasing the risk of accidental exposure, according to The 2025 State of NHIs and Secrets in Cybersecurity.
- 91% of former employee tokens remain active after offboarding, leaving organisations vulnerable to potential security breaches.
- This is the same governance problem surface that certificate teams face when ownership and replacement paths are unclear, as explored in NHI Lifecycle Management Guide.
What this signals
Certificate lifecycle management is now part of identity governance, not a niche PKI task. Teams that still separate certificates from broader identity lifecycle processes will struggle whenever trust policy changes compress migration timelines. The better operating model is to treat certificates as governed non-human identities with inventory, ownership, and retirement controls aligned to the rest of the programme.
With 57% of organisations lacking a complete inventory of their machine identities, according to our Critical Gaps in Machine Identity Management report, the risk is not just missed renewal. It is missed discovery, which means deprecation can surface before remediation plans exist.
The next control maturity step is to connect certificate discovery, re-keying, and exception handling to one lifecycle workflow. That gives teams a way to absorb trust-policy changes without turning them into user-facing outages.
For practitioners
- Map every SHA-1 certificate to an owner Build an inventory of all external and internal certificates, then assign a named owner to each one so migration cannot stall in shared responsibility gaps.
- Re-key before browser trust deadlines Replace SHA-1 certificates with SHA-256 as soon as compatibility allows, using re-keying to reduce downtime and avoid user-facing browser warnings.
- Test platform compatibility before forcing migration Validate whether legacy applications, devices, and middleware support SHA-2 so exceptions are known before enforcement dates arrive.
- Tie certificate renewal to lifecycle controls Embed certificate expiry, re-issue, and replacement checks into identity lifecycle processes so certificates are governed alongside other non-human identities.
Key takeaways
- SHA-1 deprecation shows that certificate risk is a lifecycle governance failure as much as a cryptographic one.
- The practical danger is not only weaker hashing, but unmanaged trust drift when inventories and owners are incomplete.
- Teams that can discover, assign, and re-key certificates before enforcement dates will turn deprecation from outage risk into routine control.
Standards & Framework Alignment
This section maps relevant standards and security frameworks to the operational risks and controls described in this guidance.
OWASP Non-Human Identity Top 10 address the attack and risk surface, while NIST CSF 2.0 and NIST Zero Trust (SP 800-207) set the governance and control requirements practitioners need to meet.
| Framework | Control / Reference | Relevance |
|---|---|---|
| OWASP Non-Human Identity Top 10 | NHI-03 | SHA-1 migration is a certificate lifecycle and rotation issue. |
| NIST CSF 2.0 | PR.DS-2 | Algorithm deprecation affects protection of data in transit. |
| NIST Zero Trust (SP 800-207) | PR.AC-1 | Trust enforcement depends on continuously validated identity material. |
Inventory certificates, rotate deprecated algorithms, and enforce replacement before trust policy changes.
Key terms
- Certificate lifecycle management: The discipline of tracking certificates from issuance through renewal, re-keying, replacement, and retirement. It turns certificates into governed assets with ownership and expiry controls, rather than static configuration objects that are only noticed when they fail.
- Cryptographic agility: The ability to replace one cryptographic algorithm or trust mechanism with another without major service disruption. In practice, it depends on inventory, compatibility testing, and change control, because the technical switch is easy only when the surrounding governance is already in place.
- Certificate trust window: The period during which a certificate is accepted by browsers, operating systems, and other validators. When that window closes, the certificate may still exist but no longer establishes trusted access, which makes external policy as important as internal expiry dates.
Deepen your knowledge
NHI governance, machine identity security, and identity lifecycle management are core topics in our NHI Foundation Level course, the industry's only accredited NHI security programme. If you are responsible for identity security strategy or lifecycle governance in your organisation, it is worth exploring.
This post draws on content published by DigiCert: What Is SHA-2 and How the SHA-1 Deprecation Affects You. Read the original.
Published by the NHIMG editorial team on 2025-09-29.
NHI Mgmt Group — the independent authority on Non-Human Identity, IAM, and Agentic AI security. nhimg.org