Machine learning and AI models now make or shape decisions on credit, fraud, pricing, hiring and security, yet many organisations validate them less rigorously than the spreadsheets they replaced. Model risk management (MRM) is the discipline banks built, under the US Federal Reserve's SR 11-7, to stop flawed or misused models causing losses. SR 11-7 was superseded on 17 April 2026 by SR 26-2, which explicitly leaves generative and agentic AI out of scope, so organisations now have to decide how far the classic MRM lifecycle extends to AI. This guide explains the current regulatory position in the US, UK, Canada and EU, how to adapt inventory, tiering, validation and monitoring to AI models, and where MRM stops and wider AI governance takes over. It is for model risk, validation, data science, security and audit teams, inside and outside financial services.
Key takeaways
- SR 11-7 is no longer current. The Federal Reserve, OCC and FDIC replaced it on 17 April 2026 with revised, non-enforceable guidance (SR 26-2, OCC Bulletin 2026-13) aimed mainly at banks over $30 billion in assets, though SR 11-7's lifecycle remains the common vocabulary.
- Generative and agentic AI fall outside the new US guidance. SR 26-2 footnote 3 excludes them as "novel and rapidly evolving"; their risk must be managed through broader AI governance, which is where most organisations need to do new work.
- Other regulators go the other way. UK PRA SS1/23 has a sub-principle on AI and machine learning, and Canada's OSFI Guideline E-23, effective 1 May 2027, puts AI/ML squarely in scope.
- Validation has three core parts that still apply. Conceptual soundness, outcomes analysis and ongoing monitoring, adapted for AI with bias, robustness, drift and explainability testing.
- Effective challenge is the control that matters most. Reviewers need the expertise, independence and standing to change or stop a model, whatever the organisation chart says.
Current regulatory status
Regulatory status was checked on official sources on 24 October 2026. Several of these texts changed in 2026, so check the issuing body's page before relying on any of them.
| Instrument | Issuer | Status | Scope | AI position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SR 11-7 Guidance on Model Risk Management (4 April 2011), with OCC Bulletin 2011-12 | Federal Reserve, OCC | Superseded and replaced by SR 26-2 on 17 April 2026; OCC Bulletin 2011-12 rescinded | Was: supervised banking organisations | Predates modern AI; widely applied to ML by analogy |
| SR 26-2 Revised Guidance on Model Risk Management (17 April 2026), OCC Bulletin 2026-13 | Federal Reserve, OCC, FDIC | Current. States it does not set enforceable standards and non-compliance will not result in supervisory criticism, though unsafe or unsound practices remain actionable | Expected to be most relevant to banking organisations over $30 billion total assets | Non-generative, non-agentic AI in scope; generative and agentic AI excluded (footnote 3) |
| SR 21-8 / OCC Bulletin 2021-19, BSA/AML model risk statement | Interagency | Superseded April 2026, no replacement | BSA/AML systems | n/a |
| Interagency AI request for information | OCC, Federal Reserve, FDIC | Announced 17 April 2026 as planned "in the near future"; we could not confirm on 24 October 2026 whether it has been issued | Bank use of AI including generative and agentic | Likely route for future US AI expectations |
| PRA SS1/23 Model risk management principles for banks | Bank of England PRA | In force since 17 May 2024; current version effective 23 April 2026 after low impact amendments | UK banks, building societies and PRA-designated investment firms with internal model approval (IRB, IMA, IMM) | Sub-principle on risks from AI in modelling techniques such as machine learning |
| OSFI Guideline E-23 Model Risk Management | OSFI (Canada) | Published 11 September 2025, effective 1 May 2027 | All federally regulated financial institutions | AI/ML explicitly covered; more AI/ML use calls for more mature governance |
| EU AI Act, Regulation (EU) 2024/1689 as amended by Regulation (EU) 2026/1744 | EU | In force; Annex III high-risk obligations apply from 2 December 2027 | Providers and deployers in the EU market | Credit scoring and life and health insurance pricing are Annex III high-risk uses |
The EU obligations for high-risk systems (risk management, data governance, logging, human oversight, accuracy and robustness) overlap heavily with MRM and are set out in the EU AI Act Compliance Guide.
What changed from SR 11-7 to SR 26-2
| Topic | SR 11-7 (2011) | SR 26-2 (2026) |
|---|---|---|
| Definition of model | Quantitative method applying statistical, economic, financial or mathematical theories; qualitative inputs covered if output is quantitative | A complex quantitative method applying statistical, economic or financial theories; excludes simple arithmetic, spreadsheets and deterministic rule-based processes |
| Proportionality | Scaled to size, complexity and extent of model use; materiality a key consideration | Overall model risk = inherent risk (assumptions, complexity, input quality, data constraints) in context of materiality (exposure and purpose); immaterial models may only need identification and monitoring |
| Effective challenge | Objective, informed parties; depends on incentives, competence and influence | Critical analysis by objective experts with expertise, independence and standing to effect change |
| Validation | Conceptual soundness, ongoing monitoring, outcomes analysis including back-testing; review at least annually | Same three elements in much less detail; emphasis on rigour and effectiveness over organisational structure |
| Third-party models | Vendor and consultant models validated like internal ones | Principles remain applicable when vendors keep code or methods proprietary; customisations documented and justified |
| Inventory | Models in use, under development and recently retired | Sufficient information to understand individual and aggregate model risk |
| Generative and agentic AI | Not addressed | Out of scope |
For practitioners the lesson is that the regulatory floor in the US has dropped, while model complexity has risen. Organisations that dismantle SR 11-7 era controls because the guidance is now non-enforceable will be badly placed when the promised AI expectations arrive, and the PRA and OSFI texts already expect more.
Which AI systems belong in the MRM programme
Decide scope in writing. A workable rule: anything that produces a quantitative or classification output that drives a business decision is a model; generative and agentic systems are governed under the AI governance framework but borrow MRM validation and monitoring where they make or inform material decisions.
- Classic MRM scope: credit scoring, pricing, capital and loss forecasting, fraud and AML transaction monitoring, gradient-boosted and neural network classifiers, anomaly detection used for security alerting.
- Extended AI scope: large language model applications that summarise, classify or recommend in decision workflows, retrieval-augmented systems, and agents. Use the risk tiering approach in the AI Use Case Risk Tiering Guide to decide how much MRM rigour applies.
- Vendor models: embedded scoring in SaaS platforms, third-party fraud scores and hosted foundation models. All are in scope; the evidence you can obtain differs. See the Third-Party AI Risk Guide.
The model risk lifecycle for AI
OSFI E-23 describes the lifecycle as design, review, deployment, monitoring and decommissioning, and notes the stages are not strictly sequential. The table shows what each stage needs for AI models in addition to classic MRM.
| Stage | Classic MRM requirement | Additional for AI and ML | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Identification and inventory | Register every model with owner and use | Capture foundation model and version, prompts or system instructions, retrieval sources, tools, fine-tuning data | Inventory record |
| Risk rating | Inherent risk and materiality | Autonomy, customer impact, opacity, regulatory classification (EU AI Act Annex III) | Rating rationale |
| Design and development | Purpose, theory, data quality, testing | Training data lineage and consent, feature leakage tests, bias testing across protected groups, hyperparameter rationale | Development documentation, model card |
| Independent validation | Conceptual soundness, outcomes analysis, ongoing monitoring plan | Robustness and adversarial testing, explainability review, red teaming for generative systems, reproducibility check | Validation report with findings and severity |
| Approval and deployment | Approval by authority matched to rating | Change control on model, prompt and retrieval corpus; deployment gates in MLOps pipeline | Approval record, release tag |
| Ongoing monitoring | Performance against expectations, benchmarking | Data and concept drift, fairness metrics over time, hallucination and refusal rates, input attack signals | Monitoring dashboard, breach log |
| Decommissioning | Retire and keep in inventory for a period | Revoke model endpoints, API keys and service accounts; archive weights and data for audit | Retirement record |
OSFI E-23 also lists inventory fields worth adopting anywhere: model ID, name and description, risk rating, owner, developer and origin for every identified model, and for inventoried models version, deployment date, reviewer, approver, dependencies, data sources, approved uses, limitations, last and next review dates and monitoring status. The AI Register and AI Inventory Template extends these for generative AI.
Validating AI models
Conceptual soundness
- Purpose fit: is the model type appropriate to the decision? A black-box deep model for an adverse credit decision that must be explained to the applicant is a design issue, not just a documentation issue.
- Data: representativeness of training data for the population it will score, label quality, leakage of future information, and lawful basis for personal data use.
- Explainability: global and local explanation methods appropriate to the audience; check explanations are stable. See the Explainable and Fair AI Guide.
Outcomes analysis
- Back-testing on out-of-time samples not used in development, as SR 11-7 required and SR 26-2 retains.
- Benchmarking against a simpler challenger model: if a logistic regression performs almost as well, the extra opacity may not be justified.
- Segment analysis by customer group, channel and geography to find where performance or fairness breaks down.
- Generative systems: task-specific evaluation sets with defined acceptance thresholds for accuracy, groundedness and harmful output, covering the NIST AI 600-1 risks relevant to the use, such as confabulation, data privacy, harmful bias and information security.
Ongoing monitoring
SR 26-2 notes that a model that no longer performs as expected may warrant overlays, adjustment or redevelopment. For AI, monitoring must catch change you did not make: shifts in input data, user behaviour, or a provider silently updating a hosted model. NIST AI RMF MEASURE 2.4 expects functionality and behaviour to be monitored in production, and MANAGE 4.1 expects post-deployment monitoring plans that cover user input, appeal and override, decommissioning, incident response, recovery and change management.
Security risks inside model risk
Classic MRM treats model failure as error or misuse. AI adds deliberate attack, and the MRM programme should require security testing for higher-rated models.
| Threat | Reference | Model risk effect | Control |
|---|---|---|---|
| Training data poisoning | MITRE ATLAS AML.T0020 Poison Training Data | Model learns attacker-chosen behaviour; validation passes on clean test data | Data provenance, integrity checks on training pipelines. See the AI Data Poisoning and Backdoors Guide |
| Prompt injection in LLM applications | OWASP Top 10 for LLM Applications 2025, LLM01 | Outputs and actions controlled by untrusted input | Input isolation, output validation, least-privilege tools |
| Supply chain compromise of models or libraries | OWASP LLM03 Supply Chain | Unvalidated third-party weights or packages in production | Model provenance, AI-BOM. See the AI Supply Chain and AI-BOM Guide |
| Credential exposure for model endpoints | NIST SP 800-53 SA-9 External System Services | Unauthorised use or tampering with hosted models | Scoped, rotated keys; workload identity |
Model endpoints, feature stores and training pipelines run on service accounts and API keys. Recording those identities in the model inventory, and revoking them at decommissioning, is part of model risk control. See the AI Infrastructure Workload Identity Guide and the AI Model Security Guide.
Governance and effective challenge
- Accountability: PRA SS1/23 expects responsibility for the overall MRM framework to sit with the most appropriate Senior Management Function holder. Name an equivalent executive owner outside the UK.
- Three lines: model owners and developers (first line), independent validation and model risk (second line), internal audit (third line). SR 26-2 is less prescriptive about audit, but the separation still matters.
- Standing: validators must be able to block deployment or impose use restrictions. If findings are routinely overridden by the business, challenge is not effective.
- Committee link: high-rated AI models should go to the AI review committee as well as the model risk committee, with one decision record. See the AI Ethics Board and AI Review Committee Guide.
- Aggregate risk: SR 26-2 and SR 11-7 both expect model risk managed in aggregate. Report concentration on a single foundation model provider or shared feature pipeline.
Implementing AI model risk management
- Write the scope decision: what counts as a model, and how generative and agentic AI are covered (MRM, AI governance, or both).
- Run an identification sweep using surveys, code repository and cloud ML service scans, and SaaS discovery. Triage findings into model, non-model and out of scope.
- Rate every model on inherent risk and materiality, and set review frequency and depth per rating. Start validation with the highest-rated unvalidated models.
- Pilot the AI validation standard on three models of different types (tabular ML, vendor score, LLM application) and refine test requirements before scaling.
- Automate monitoring in the MLOps pipeline: drift and performance thresholds with named owners and escalation.
- Set the rollback path for each high-rated model: previous approved version, champion model, rules-based fallback or manual process, with a tested switch-over and a documented authority to invoke it (NIST AI RMF MANAGE 2.4).
- Review annually and on regulatory change, which in 2026 means tracking the interagency AI RFI and the OSFI E-23 effective date.
Detection and measurement
- Inventory completeness: models found by discovery sweeps that were not in the inventory (target falling to zero).
- Validation coverage: share of high-rated models with a current independent validation (target 100 per cent).
- Overdue findings: high-severity validation findings past their remediation date.
- Monitoring breaches: number of drift or performance threshold breaches, and median time to decision (accept, overlay, retrain, withdraw).
- Use outside approval: instances of a model used for a purpose not in its approved uses.
- What to log: model version and prompt version per prediction or response for high-rated models, input data statistics, overrides by humans, and any provider model change notices.
Framework mapping
| Framework | Reference | MRM activity |
|---|---|---|
| NIST AI RMF 1.0 | GOVERN 1.3, GOVERN 1.6, MEASURE 2.4, MANAGE 1.3, MANAGE 2.4, MANAGE 4.1 | Proportionality, inventory, production monitoring, risk response, override and deactivation, post-deployment plans |
| NIST AI 600-1 | 12 generative AI risks; GV-1.3-001, GV-1.6-001 | Validation scope for generative systems, risk tiers, inventory |
| NIST CSF 2.0 | ID.AM-02, ID.AM-08, ID.RA-05, GV.SC-07, DE.CM-09 | Inventory, lifecycle management, inherent risk, supplier models, runtime monitoring |
| NIST SP 800-53 Rev. 5 | RA-3, CA-7, CM-3, SA-11, SR-6, PM-5 | Risk assessment, continuous monitoring, change control, developer testing, supplier review, system inventory |
| PRA SS1/23 | Principles 1 to 5 | Identification and classification, governance, development, independent validation, mitigants |
| OSFI E-23 | Model risk rating, lifecycle, inventory | Rating-driven governance including AI/ML |
For the surrounding programme see the AI Governance Guide, the NIST AI RMF Guide and the AI Risk Assessment Guide.
Common failure patterns
- Reading non-enforceable as optional: cutting validation because SR 26-2 removed supervisory criticism, while unsafe or unsound practice remains actionable and other regulators expect more.
- Generative AI in a gap: excluded from MRM because SR 26-2 excludes it, and not picked up by AI governance either.
- Validating once: a strong pre-deployment validation with no drift monitoring, so a model degrades for a year unnoticed.
- Vendor opacity accepted: third-party scores used without performance data or customisation records, despite guidance that MRM principles still apply.
- Unmonitored customer-facing outputs: the Air Canada chatbot ruling made the airline liable for a bot's wrong policy answer, the kind of error outcome monitoring and accuracy testing exist to catch.
- Orphaned endpoints: retired models whose API keys and service accounts stay live.
Practitioner checklist
- Update policies that cite SR 11-7 to reflect SR 26-2, and record your own position on generative and agentic AI.
- Define "model" in writing, including how LLM applications and agents are treated.
- Maintain one inventory with owner, rating, version, data sources, approved uses, limitations and identities used.
- Rate models on inherent risk and materiality and set validation depth and frequency per rating.
- Validate conceptual soundness, outcomes and monitoring plans, adding bias, robustness and security testing for AI.
- Give validators documented authority to block deployment or restrict use.
- Monitor drift, performance and fairness in production with thresholds, owners and escalation.
- Require vendor performance evidence and change notices, including for hosted foundation models.
- Test a rollback or fallback for each high-rated model.
- Track the interagency AI RFI, PRA SS1/23 amendments, OSFI E-23 and EU AI Act dates.
Standards and references
- Federal Reserve: SR 26-2 Revised Guidance on Model Risk Management
- Federal Reserve: SR 11-7 Guidance on Model Risk Management (superseded)
- OCC: Agencies issue revised model risk management guidance (NR 2026-29)
- Bank of England PRA: SS1/23 Model risk management principles for banks
- OSFI: Guideline E-23, Model Risk Management
- NIST: AI Risk Management Framework 1.0 (NIST AI 100-1)
- NIST: Generative Artificial Intelligence Profile (NIST AI 600-1)
- EUR-Lex: Regulation (EU) 2024/1689 (Artificial Intelligence Act)
Related NHI Mgmt Group resources: AI Governance Guide · AI Use Case Risk Tiering Guide · Explainable and Fair AI Guide · EU AI Act Compliance Guide. This guide summarises model risk management guidance and related AI regulation as of 24 October 2026 and is not legal advice.