By NHI Mgmt Group Editorial TeamPublished 2026-02-04Domain: Governance & RiskSource: Axiad

TL;DR: Legacy PKI can consume more than $1 million a year in maintenance, licensing, and professional services for federal agencies, while fragmented certificate authorities create blind spots, slow issuance, and preventable outages, according to Axiad. The governance issue is not just cost, but an identity model that assumes certificate management can stay manual, isolated, and reviewable at human speed.


At a glance

What this is: This is an analysis of how legacy PKI is driving cost, operational drag, and blind spots in federal identity management, with cloud-native PKI-as-a-Service positioned as the architectural response.

Why it matters: It matters because certificate lifecycle bottlenecks affect NHI, human, and infrastructure identity programmes alike, especially where Zero Trust, phishing-resistant authentication, and audit readiness depend on fast, visible credential control.

By the numbers:

👉 Read Axiad's analysis of federal PKI modernization and identity cost reduction


Context

Public key infrastructure is the trust layer behind certificate-based authentication, device identity, secure email, and system-to-system access. In many federal environments, that layer has become expensive to operate because the certificate estate is fragmented across multiple authorities, managed with manual workflows, and hard to see end to end.

The primary identity governance problem is not simply cost. It is that certificate lifecycle work still depends on disconnected approval chains, isolated administration, and slow human intervention, which creates blind spots, stale credentials, and operational risk across both human and machine identity programmes.


Key questions

Q: How should agencies reduce the operational burden of legacy PKI without disrupting authentication?

A: Agencies should move certificate issuance, renewal, and revocation into a governed lifecycle model that can run in parallel with legacy systems during migration. The goal is to cut manual handling and improve visibility without breaking trust chains. That means inventorying all authorities, setting policy-based workflows, and phasing migration by certificate risk rather than by convenience.

Q: Why do fragmented certificate authorities create more identity risk than cost risk?

A: Fragmented certificate authorities create identity risk because they split ownership, visibility, and revocation across separate control planes. That makes it harder to detect ghost certificates, prove compliance, and respond before an expiry or compromise causes an outage. The cost issue matters, but the deeper problem is that no one has a complete lifecycle view of trust credentials.

Q: What breaks when certificate management stays manual in a Zero Trust programme?

A: Manual certificate management slows issuance, delays revocation, and weakens the continuous verification that Zero Trust depends on. When teams cannot move at the pace of access demand, they create stale trust, slow recovery, and incomplete audit evidence. The programme may still call itself Zero Trust, but the trust layer is operating with outdated identity state.

Q: Who is accountable when certificate failures cause outages or audit gaps?

A: Accountability should sit with the identity and platform owners who control the certificate lifecycle, not with the individual teams that consume certificates. Where multiple authorities and vendors are involved, governance must define ownership, revocation authority, and evidence retention clearly. That is the only way to make certificate control auditable rather than assumed.


Technical breakdown

Why fragmented Certificate Authority estates create hidden identity risk

When multiple Certificate Authorities operate in isolation, each one develops its own request flow, renewal pattern, and tracking method. That fragmentation makes it hard to enforce a single policy view across the certificate estate, especially when teams rely on spreadsheets, email approvals, or local admin knowledge. Ghost certificates, untracked expirations, and duplicated trust chains are not just process annoyances. They are control failures that increase outage risk and weaken identity assurance. In practice, the problem is less about the certificate itself and more about the lack of unified lifecycle governance across the estate.

Practical implication: Map every CA, renewal path, and owner so certificate lifecycle control is visible in one governance model.

How policy-driven automation changes certificate issuance

Policy-driven automation replaces manual approval chains with rule-based workflows that validate requests, route exceptions, and issue certificates without repeated human handling. In operational terms, that means the identity system becomes capable of sustaining minutes-level provisioning rather than days or weeks of delay. The architecture matters because certificate issuance is often part of a broader identity chain that includes Active Directory, PAM, and authentication platforms. When those handoffs are manual, error rates rise and audit evidence becomes harder to assemble. Automation reduces friction only when it is tied to policy, inventory, and ownership.

Practical implication: Automate routine certificate issuance only after policy checks, ownership data, and revocation paths are defined.

What cloud-native PKI-as-a-Service changes for audit and compliance

Cloud-native PKI-as-a-Service shifts compliance burden from local operators to a managed platform, which can reduce the overhead of HSM management, third-party assessments, and routine operational maintenance. That shift is relevant to identity programmes because audit evidence, revocation speed, and lifecycle traceability are part of trust governance, not separate tasks. For federal teams, the architectural benefit is not just lower infrastructure cost. It is a cleaner way to prove that certificate controls are operating continuously rather than being assembled ad hoc at review time.

Practical implication: Treat compliance automation as part of identity governance design, not as a post-hoc reporting layer.


  • Sisense breach — unauthorized GitLab access led to exfiltration of access tokens, API keys and certificates.
  • Cisco DevHub NHI breach — IntelBroker exploited exposed Cisco credentials, API tokens and keys in DevHub.

Read our 52 NHI Breaches Analysis report for a comprehensive view of breaches impacting Non-Human Identities including AI Agents.


NHI Mgmt Group analysis

Legacy PKI is no longer just an infrastructure burden, it is an identity governance drag. When certificate issuance, renewal, and revocation are split across isolated authorities, the organisation loses a coherent lifecycle view of trust credentials. That fragmentation creates blind spots that are functionally similar to unmanaged NHI sprawl. Practitioners should treat distributed CA estates as governance debt that accumulates until it becomes a control failure.

Manual certificate workflows are a privilege management problem disguised as administration. Every approval chain that takes days to process expands the window in which identity state can drift away from policy. That is especially damaging in environments trying to support Zero Trust and phishing-resistant authentication, because the trust layer cannot keep pace with operational demand. The practical conclusion is that certificate handling must be governed as access infrastructure, not as back-office ticketing.

Cloud-native PKI changes the economics of trust by centralising lifecycle control. A managed model can absorb HSM operations, reduce audit overhead, and consolidate renewal logic, but the deeper value is governance consistency. One policy engine, one revocation path, and one evidence trail are easier to defend than a patchwork of local controls. Practitioners should see this as a shift from fragmented credential maintenance to measurable identity control.

Certificate sprawl creates a hidden identity attack surface that most programmes underestimate. Ghost certificates, orphaned trust chains, and delayed revocation are not edge cases when the environment is large and manual. They are symptoms of a lifecycle model that cannot keep up with scale. The lesson for federal teams is that trust credentials need the same governance discipline now applied to service accounts, tokens, and other NHI assets.

PKI modernisation is becoming a prerequisite for federal identity programmes that must support Zero Trust and post-quantum transition. Legacy architectures slow both mandates because they cannot easily adapt to new cryptographic requirements while preserving operational continuity. That means the modernisation question is no longer whether PKI is expensive, but whether the current trust model can still support the next control era. Practitioners should re-evaluate PKI as strategic identity infrastructure, not sunk cost.

From our research:

  • The average organisation believes more than 1 in 5 of their non-human identities are insufficiently secured, according to The 2024 ESG Report: Managing Non-Human Identities.
  • 72% of organisations have experienced or suspect they have experienced a breach of non-human identities, with 46% confirmed and 26% suspected.
  • For a broader breach lens, the 52 NHI Breaches Analysis shows how unmanaged credentials turn governance gaps into repeated incidents.

What this signals

Certificate lifecycle governance is converging with NHI governance. As trust infrastructures become more automated, the same programme discipline used for service accounts and tokens will be required for certificates, especially where ownership, expiry, and revocation are distributed across teams. Federal identity leaders should expect PKI to be measured less as infrastructure and more as a governed identity control surface.

Ghost certificate risk is a useful named concept for the next phase of trust management. It describes credentials that remain valid but fall outside active governance, creating blind spots until they expire or are abused. That pattern is a strong signal that inventory, ownership, and revocation telemetry need to sit inside the identity programme, not outside it.

With 72% of organisations already experiencing or suspecting NHI breaches, the boundary between machine identity and certificate governance is too thin to treat separately. Agencies that modernise PKI now will have a cleaner path to Zero Trust verification, especially if they align certificate controls with NIST Cybersecurity Framework 2.0 and internal lifecycle reporting.


For practitioners

  • Inventory every certificate authority and trust chain Build a complete map of all Certificate Authorities, renewal workflows, and credential owners so no certificate sits outside a governed lifecycle. Include internal, external, and bridge relationships in the same inventory to expose duplication and orphaned trust paths.
  • Replace manual approvals with policy-bound issuance Move routine issuance, renewal, and revocation into automated workflows that validate policy before certificates are created or extended. Keep exception handling explicit so approvals remain auditable rather than implicit in email threads or local administrator actions.
  • Tie certificate governance to Zero Trust delivery Use certificate lifecycle metrics as a readiness signal for Zero Trust work, including revocation speed, ownership completeness, and renewal latency. If those signals are weak, identity assurance is weaker than the architecture documentation suggests.
  • Plan migration in parallel operations Run legacy and cloud-native PKI in parallel during phased cutover so mission systems keep functioning while trust relationships are migrated deliberately. Use low-risk certificate types first, then extend to more sensitive workloads once interoperability is proven.

Key takeaways

  • Legacy PKI creates both cost pressure and identity governance risk when certificate control is split across fragmented authorities.
  • The strongest operational gains come from policy-driven automation, centralized lifecycle visibility, and parallel migration rather than one-time replacement.
  • Federal identity teams should treat PKI modernisation as a prerequisite for Zero Trust and long-term trust agility, not as a narrow infrastructure upgrade.

Standards & Framework Alignment

This section maps relevant standards and security frameworks to the operational risks and controls described in this guidance.

NIST CSF 2.0, NIST Zero Trust (SP 800-207) and NIST CSF 2.0 set the governance and control requirements practitioners need to meet.

FrameworkControl / ReferenceRelevance
NIST CSF 2.0PR.AC-1Certificate trust underpins identity verification and access control.
NIST Zero Trust (SP 800-207)Zero Trust depends on continuous credential verification and rapid revocation.
NIST CSF 2.0PR.DS-2Certificate integrity and lifecycle evidence support secure trust management.

Map certificate issuance and revocation to identity assurance controls and verify ownership continuously.


Key terms

  • Public Key Infrastructure: Public Key Infrastructure is the trust system that issues, manages, and revokes digital certificates used to prove identity. In practice it binds keys to entities and policies, making authentication, encryption, and non-repudiation possible across users, devices, and services.
  • Certificate Authority: A Certificate Authority is the entity that signs and vouches for digital certificates. In a governed environment, the CA is not just a technical component but a policy enforcement point that determines who can obtain trust credentials and under what conditions.
  • Certificate lifecycle management: Certificate lifecycle management is the discipline of issuing, tracking, renewing, rotating, and revoking certificates through their full life. Strong lifecycle management reduces blind spots, prevents stale credentials, and gives security teams a reliable record of trust state over time.
  • Ghost certificate: A ghost certificate is a valid certificate that remains in circulation or on record without clear ownership or active tracking. These credentials often survive process changes, creating hidden trust exposure until they expire, break, or are discovered during an incident or audit.

Deepen your knowledge

PKI lifecycle governance and certificate automation are core topics in our NHI Foundation Level course, the industry's only accredited NHI security programme. If you are modernising trust infrastructure in a similar environment, it is worth exploring.

This post draws on content published by Axiad: How Government Agencies Can Cut PKI Costs by 60%. Read the original.

NHIMG Editorial Note
Published by the NHIMG editorial team on 2026-02-04.
NHI Mgmt Group — the independent authority on Non-Human Identity, IAM, and Agentic AI security. nhimg.org