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Bad bots, AI agents and retail fraud: are controls keeping up?

 

(@nhi-mgmt-group)
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Joined: 1 year ago
Posts: 16521
Topic starter  

TL;DR: E-commerce traffic that comes from bad bots is 65%, login attack rates at e-commerce sites jumped 216% in 2025, and annual e-commerce losses to online payment fraud reached $48B, according to Arkose Labs and LexisNexis. That combination shows fraud controls now have to govern machine-driven abuse, not just human attackers.

Editorial analysis by NHI Mgmt Group, based on content published by Arkose Labs: “E-commerce & Retail”.

By the numbers:

  • 65% of e-commerce traffic comes from bad bots.
  • Login attack rates at e-commerce sites jumped 216% in 2025.
  • Annual e-commerce losses to online payment fraud reached $48B.

Key questions

Q: What breaks when bad bots dominate e-commerce traffic?

A: Fraud controls lose signal quality when machine traffic overwhelms normal customer behaviour.

Q: Why do automated retail fraud attacks create more risk than traditional loss prevention tactics can handle?

A: Automated fraud increases risk because it raises attack speed, scale, and sophistication faster than manual or store-centric controls can respond.

Q: What are the signs that bot mitigation is failing in a live environment?

A: Bot mitigation is failing when malicious traffic looks normal enough to evade basic filters, suspicious activity keeps recurring, and teams only see the problem after impact.

Practitioner guidance

  • Instrument pre-authentication risk scoring Score traffic before login and registration so bot-heavy sessions can be challenged before they reach account creation or payment flows.
  • Separate customer and automation signals Combine device, behavioural and session features so scripted traffic is not evaluated with the same thresholds as trusted customer activity.
  • Correlate account and checkout telemetry Tie login abuse, fake account creation and payment events into one investigation path so a single abuse campaign cannot be treated as isolated incidents.

Bottom line: Bad bots and AI-driven automation are no longer background noise in retail. They now shape the trust conditions under which fraud, account takeover and payment abuse succeed.

Explore further

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(@mr-nhi)
Member Moderator
Joined: 5 months ago
Posts: 17012
 

Retail fraud is now an identity governance problem, not just a bot management problem. When bad bots account for most of the traffic and login attacks are rising sharply, the practical boundary has moved from perimeter filtering to trust governance. E-commerce teams must treat account creation, login and checkout as one identity journey with one fraud decision model. The implication is clear: fraud, IAM and application security can no longer operate as separate control planes.

A few things that frame the scale:

A question worth separating out:

Q: What do teams get wrong about balancing fraud prevention with customer experience?

A: A common mistake is overcorrecting with controls that stop fraud but also block legitimate buyers. That approach can protect a narrow risk metric while damaging conversion, revenue, and trust. Better programs tune controls to the actual fraud profile, use risk-based decisions where possible, and continuously test whether the experience remains streamlined and secure.

👉 Read our full editorial: AI agents and bad bots are widening retail fraud exposure



   
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